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Montauk Renewables (NasdaqCM:MNTK)

US61218C1036

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Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

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Montauk Renewables stock research in summary

montaukenergy.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Montauk Renewables (Renewable Electricity, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Montauk Renewables are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 85, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Montauk Renewables's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Montauk Renewables exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 5), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 85) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	5
Growth Rank	85
Safety Rank	85
Combined Rank	71

Country	USA
Industry	Renewable Electricity
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Small

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

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Research History: Montauk Renewables

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	1	1	5
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	31	77	85
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	91	84	85
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	27	25	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	31	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Montauk Renewables is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	1	1	5
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	31	77	85
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	91	84	85
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	25	54	71

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Montauk Renewables the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with alternatives), Montauk Renewables shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Montauk Renewables. Price-to-Sales is 39 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 61% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Montauk Renewables's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 27, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Montauk Renewables. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 9 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Montauk Renewables's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Montauk Renewables? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Montauk Renewables? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Montauk Renewables may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	2	1	39
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	1	1	9
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	1	8	27
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	1	1	5

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Montauk Renewables; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Montauk Renewables shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Montauk Renewables. Sales Growth has a value of 87 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 87% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 88 and Capital Growth with a rank of 81 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 3, which means that stock returns have recently been below 97% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Montauk Renewables has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Montauk Renewables, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	89	77	87
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	1	68	88
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	98	98	81
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	1	19	3
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	31	77	85

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Montauk Renewables.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Montauk Renewables has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Montauk Renewables is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Montauk Renewables.Leverage is at 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 91, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 38, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 62% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives), Montauk Renewables has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Montauk Renewables more challenging. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	81	68	74
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	77	90	91
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	67	69	38
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	91	84	85

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Montauk Renewables and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	4	49	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	52	14	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	34	17	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	27	25	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Montauk Renewables.
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