Fact based stock research
Mountain Province Diamonds (TSX:MPVD)

CA62426E4022

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Mountain Province Diamonds stock research in summary

mountainprovince.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Mountain Province Diamonds (Precious Metals & Minerals, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mountain Province Diamonds are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Mountain Province Diamonds's financial characteristics. As the company Mountain Province Diamonds's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 74) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 74% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	74
Growth Rank	1
Safety Rank	53
Combined Rank	27

Country	Canada
Industry	Precious Metals & Minerals
Index
Size class	Small

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Mountain Province Diamonds

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	40	79	96	74
GROWTH
GROWTH	1	41	13	1
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	32	48	53
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	5	20	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	21	27	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Mountain Province Diamonds is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	40	79	96	74
GROWTH
GROWTH	1	41	13	1
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	32	48	53
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	55	46	27

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Mountain Province Diamonds the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Mountain Province Diamonds shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Mountain Province Diamonds. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Mountain Province Diamonds's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 100% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 98. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Mountain Province Diamonds (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation based on Mountain Province Diamonds's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	100	94	100	100
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	1	93	100	100
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	68	60	100	98
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	40	79	96	74

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Mountain Province Diamonds; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), Mountain Province Diamonds shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Mountain Province Diamonds. Sales Growth has a rank of 5, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 95% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 15, and Capital Growth with 3. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 1, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 99% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	1	28	79	5
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	72	38	15
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	17	13	3
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	38	65	7	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	1	41	13	1

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Mountain Province Diamonds.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), the company Mountain Province Diamonds has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mountain Province Diamonds is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Mountain Province Diamonds and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 100, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 100% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 6, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 94% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 31, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 69% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Mountain Province Diamonds has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Mountain Province Diamonds are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Mountain Province Diamonds and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	1	3	12	6
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	96	92	99	100
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	29	8	28	31
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	29	32	48	53

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Mountain Province Diamonds and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	9	70	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	48	31	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	8	11	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	5	20	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Mountain Province Diamonds.
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