Fact based stock research
Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR)

US6267171022

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Murphy Oil stock research in summary

murphyoilcorp.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with investment alternatives), Murphy Oil (Oil & Gas Production, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Murphy Oil are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 45), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 38, is a hold recommendation based on Murphy Oil's financial characteristics. As the company Murphy Oil's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 45), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	83
Growth Rank	15
Safety Rank	45
Combined Rank	38

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index	Low Emissions, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Murphy Oil

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	14	61	58	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	45	23	45	15
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	47	44	45
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	17	29	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	17	29	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Murphy Oil is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	14	61	58	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	45	23	45	15
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	47	44	45
COMBINED
COMBINED	3	35	44	38

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Murphy Oil the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Murphy Oil shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Murphy Oil. Price-to-Sales is 67 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Murphy Oil's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 62% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 93. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Murphy Oil are expected to be higher than for 71% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 71). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on Murphy Oil's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Murphy Oil based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	14	56	45	67
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	9	19	52	62
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	55	87	63	93
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	57	65	58	71
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	14	61	58	83

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Murphy Oil; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Murphy Oil shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Murphy Oil. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 79, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 28% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 22 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 78% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 28 and Stock Returns with a rank of 19 are also low (below 81% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Murphy Oil is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	32	55	27	22
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	76	52	84	28
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	14	25	79
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	90	49	61	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	45	23	45	15

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Murphy Oil.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), the company Murphy Oil has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Murphy Oil is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Murphy Oil. Leverage is at a rank of 70, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 70% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 53, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 22, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 78% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Murphy Oil has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Murphy Oil. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Murphy Oil and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	25	55	52	70
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	13	45	70	22
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	23	41	21	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	1	47	44	45

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Murphy Oil and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	14	22	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	43	24	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	48	60	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	22	42	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	17	29	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Murphy Oil.
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