Fact based stock research
Murphy USA (NYSE:MUSA)

US6267551025

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Murphy USA stock research in summary

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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Murphy USA (Automotive Retail, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Murphy USA are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 69) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 25), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Murphy USA's financial characteristics. As the company Murphy USA's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 69), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 25) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	n/a
Growth Rank	n/a
Safety Rank	n/a
Combined Rank	n/a

Country	USA
Industry	Automotive Retail
Index	S&P MIDCAP
Size class	XX-Large

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Further information

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Research History: Murphy USA

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	42	73	56	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	62	53	67	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	34	24	n/a
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	65	69	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	67	67	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: . Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: . Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Murphy USA is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	42	73	56	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	62	53	67	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	34	24	n/a
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	64	45	n/a

Last update of combined financial performance: . Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Murphy USA the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Murphy USA shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Murphy USA. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 68, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 68% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Murphy USA's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 57% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 70 (dividends are expected to be higher than 70% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 86% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Murphy USA to 14. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Murphy USA's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	72	84	64	n/a
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	56	38	59	n/a
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18	31	16	n/a
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	43	70	71	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	42	73	56	n/a

Last update of Value Rank: . Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Murphy USA; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Murphy USA shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Murphy USA. Capital Growth has a rank of 55, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 41% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 91 (above 91% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 40, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 60% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 41. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Murphy USA, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	79	83	37	n/a
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	76	8	45	n/a
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	40	61	n/a
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	63	79	83	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	62	53	67	n/a

Last update of Growth Rank: . Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Murphy USA.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), the company Murphy USA has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Murphy USA is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Murphy USA. Liquidity is at 59, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 24, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 76% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 16, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 84% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), Murphy USA has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	44	29	17	n/a
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	17	24	24	n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	65	73	65	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	29	34	24	n/a

Last update of Safety Rank: . Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Murphy USA and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	18	33	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	83	72	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	43	58	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	70	68	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	65	69	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: . Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Murphy USA.
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