Fact based stock research
NAGAWA (TSE:9663)

JP3648700007

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

NAGAWA stock research in summary

nagawa.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), NAGAWA (Homebuilding, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of NAGAWA are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 42), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 28), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on NAGAWA's financial characteristics. As the company NAGAWA's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 5), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 42), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 28), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	5
Growth Rank	42
Safety Rank	28
Combined Rank	26

Country	Japan
Industry	Homebuilding
Index
Size class	Small

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: NAGAWA

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	3	9	7	5
GROWTH
GROWTH	63	15	61	42
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	100	28	28
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	20	11	10	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	14	14	15	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better NAGAWA is in the corresponding investment strategy.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.

Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	3	9	7	5
GROWTH
GROWTH	63	15	61	42
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	100	28	28
COMBINED
COMBINED	50	50	26	26

Last update of combined financial performance: 4-Jul-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of NAGAWA the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with alternatives), NAGAWA shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for NAGAWA. Price-to-Sales is 6 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 94% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning NAGAWA's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 38, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of NAGAWA. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 22 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 87% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on NAGAWA's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for NAGAWA? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as NAGAWA? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. NAGAWA may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	1	10	12	6
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	11	10	16	22
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	26	40	46	38
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	11	13	17	13
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	3	9	7	5

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of NAGAWA; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), NAGAWA shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for NAGAWA. Sales Growth has a rank of 55, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 55% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 76 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 27, and Stock Returns with 33 are also below-average. Stock returns for NAGAWA have recently been below 67% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for NAGAWA. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	57	17	53	55
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	80	34	66	76
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	39	55	88	27
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	41	31	25	33
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	63	15	61	42

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of NAGAWA.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 28 (better than 28% compared with alternatives), the company NAGAWA has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of NAGAWA is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for NAGAWA and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 100 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 23, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), NAGAWA has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of NAGAWA are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with NAGAWA and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	96	100	100	100
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	29	25	25	23
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	89	89	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	100	100	28	28

Last update of Safety Rank: 4-Jul-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of NAGAWA and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	n/a	n/a	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	50	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	46	8	3	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	18	24	14	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	20	11	10	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for NAGAWA.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.