Fact based stock research
Nagoya Railroad (TSE:9048)

JP3649800004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Nagoya Railroad stock research in summary

meitetsu.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Nagoya Railroad (Railroads, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nagoya Railroad are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 57, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Nagoya Railroad's financial characteristics. As the company Nagoya Railroad's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 57), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	83
Growth Rank	25
Safety Rank	57
Combined Rank	65

Country	Japan
Industry	Railroads
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Nagoya Railroad

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	53	79	59	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	5	25	47	25
SAFETY
SAFETY	5	34	55	57
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	12	39	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	31	54	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Nagoya Railroad is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	53	79	59	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	5	25	47	25
SAFETY
SAFETY	5	34	55	57
COMBINED
COMBINED	8	38	69	65

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Nagoya Railroad the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Nagoya Railroad shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Nagoya Railroad. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 87, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Nagoya Railroad's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 59% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 89. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 32% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Nagoya Railroad (a Dividend Yield Rank of 32). 68% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on Nagoya Railroad's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	88	87	78	87
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	1	35	47	59
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	84	84	74	89
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	42	31	19	32
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	53	79	59	83

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Nagoya Railroad; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Nagoya Railroad shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Nagoya Railroad. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 57, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 57% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 37, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 63% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 49 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 11 (89% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	16	46	81	37
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	33	62	48	57
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	23	41	49
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	2	11	35	11
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	5	25	47	25

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Nagoya Railroad.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), the company Nagoya Railroad has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nagoya Railroad is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Nagoya Railroad. Liquidity is at 76, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 27, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 48, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Nagoya Railroad has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	14	56	50	48
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	28	25	27	27
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	31	24	60	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	5	34	55	57

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Nagoya Railroad and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	41	49	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	11	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	25	57	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	17	76	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	12	39	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Nagoya Railroad.
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