Fact based stock research
National Australia Bank (ASX:NAB)

AU000000NAB4

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

National Australia Bank stock research in summary

nab.com.au

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with investment alternatives), National Australia Bank (Diversified Banks, Australia) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of National Australia Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 64), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation based on National Australia Bank's financial characteristics. As the company National Australia Bank's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 17) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 64) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	17
Growth Rank	29
Safety Rank	64
Combined Rank	18

Country	Australia
Industry	Diversified Banks
Index	ASX 100, ASX 200, ASX 300, ASX 50, Renewables Users
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: National Australia Bank

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	4	27	24	17
GROWTH
GROWTH	72	30	17	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	21	88	64	64
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	50	90	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	49	47	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better National Australia Bank is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	4	27	24	17
GROWTH
GROWTH	72	30	17	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	21	88	64	64
COMBINED
COMBINED	6	42	24	18

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of National Australia Bank the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), National Australia Bank shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for National Australia Bank. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 74% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 81% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning National Australia Bank's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 81% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 17 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 83% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on National Australia Bank's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick National Australia Bank? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose National Australia Bank only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	6	28	27	19
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	8	25	24	19
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	28	24	19	17
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	34	76	76	74
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	4	27	24	17

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of National Australia Bank; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), National Australia Bank shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for National Australia Bank. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 67, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 14% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 45 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 55% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 14 and Stock Returns with a rank of 41 are also low (below 59% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for National Australia Bank is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	51	55	33	45
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	100	11	10	14
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	43	81	67
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	72	61	27	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	72	30	17	29

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of National Australia Bank.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), the company National Australia Bank has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of National Australia Bank is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for National Australia Bank. Refinancing is at 93, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 93% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 51, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 32, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 68% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with alternatives), National Australia Bank has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and National Australia Bank could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with National Australia Bank and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	30	49	32	32
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	64	100	96	93
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	17	66	51	51
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	21	88	64	64

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of National Australia Bank and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	5	34	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	44	69	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	94	96	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	58	73	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	50	90	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for National Australia Bank.
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