Fact based stock research
Natura & Co (BOVESPA:NTCO3)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Natura & Co stock research in summary

ri.naturaeco.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Natura & Co (Personal Products, Brazil) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Natura & Co are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Natura & Co's financial characteristics. As the company Natura & Co's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 99) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 99% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	99
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	37
Combined Rank	49

Country	Brazil
Industry	Personal Products
Index	BOVESPA, Good Governace Growth Markets, Renewables Users
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Natura & Co

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	50	75	91	99
GROWTH
GROWTH	49	35	57	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	6	11	20	37
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	22	18	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	17	41	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Natura & Co is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	50	75	91	99
GROWTH
GROWTH	49	35	57	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	6	11	20	37
COMBINED
COMBINED	21	23	73	49

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Natura & Co the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Natura & Co shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Natura & Co. Price-to-Sales is 93 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Natura & Co's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 91% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Natura & Co are expected to be higher than for 94% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 94). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation based on Natura & Co's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Natura & Co based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	89	95	93	93
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	32	59	67	91
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	78	93	95	95
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	71	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	50	75	91	99

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Natura & Co; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Natura & Co shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Natura & Co. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 82, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 4% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 8 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 4 and Stock Returns with a rank of 23 are also low (below 77% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Natura & Co is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	92	22	4	8
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	41	88	94	4
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	59	43	82
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	39	1	81	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	49	35	57	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Natura & Co.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company Natura & Co has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Natura & Co is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Natura & Co and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 86, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 86% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 16, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 84% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Natura & Co has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Natura & Co are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Natura & Co and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	14	18	20	28
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	35	56	84	86
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	19	10	4	16
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	6	11	20	37

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Natura & Co and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	48	54	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	39	31	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	52	35	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	21	17	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	22	18	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Natura & Co.
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