Fact based stock research
Navient (NasdaqGS:NAVI)
US63938C1080
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Navient stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Navient (Consumer Finance, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Navient are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 21), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Navient's financial characteristics. As the company Navient's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 21), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Consumer Finance |
Index | Diversity USA, SDG 4, NASDAQ, S&P MIDCAP |
Size class | Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Navient
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 94 |
|
71 |
|
84 |
|
79 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 97 |
|
53 |
|
33 |
|
1 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 3 |
|
11 |
|
14 |
|
21 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
73 |
|
37 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
61 |
|
26 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Navient (Consumer Finance, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Navient are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 21), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Navient's financial characteristics. As the company Navient's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 21), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 94 |
|
71 |
|
84 |
|
79 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 97 |
|
53 |
|
33 |
|
1 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 3 |
|
11 |
|
14 |
|
21 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 74 |
|
34 |
|
36 |
|
11 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Navient shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Navient. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 61 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 61% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Navient's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 81. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 51% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 49). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Navient's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Navient has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Navient shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 85 |
|
45 |
|
34 |
|
49 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 85 |
|
84 |
|
91 |
|
61 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 60 |
|
62 |
|
93 |
|
97 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 94 |
|
75 |
|
70 |
|
81 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 94 |
|
71 |
|
84 |
|
79 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), Navient shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Navient. Sales Growth has a rank of 9, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 91% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 4, and Capital Growth with 1. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 3, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 97% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 85 |
|
15 |
|
1 |
|
9 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
51 |
|
43 |
|
4 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
44 |
|
73 |
|
1 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 96 |
|
95 |
|
43 |
|
3 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 97 |
|
53 |
|
33 |
|
1 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), the company Navient has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Navient is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Navient and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 91, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 91% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 3, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 97% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 1, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), Navient has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Navient are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Navient and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 2 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 56 |
|
77 |
|
85 |
|
91 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 6 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 3 |
|
11 |
|
14 |
|
21 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
40 |
|
9 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
64 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
87 |
|
63 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
24 |
|
23 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
73 |
|
37 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Navient from November 14, 2024.
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