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Nicolet Bankshares (NasdaqCM:NCBS)

US65406E1029

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Nicolet Bankshares stock research in summary

investors.nicoletbank.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Nicolet Bankshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nicolet Bankshares are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 4 (worse than 96% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 86) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Nicolet Bankshares's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Nicolet Bankshares exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 4), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 86). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	4
Growth Rank	86
Safety Rank	78
Combined Rank	72

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Small

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Nicolet Bankshares

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	10	9	7	4
GROWTH
GROWTH	12	37	73	86
SAFETY
SAFETY	84	9	98	78
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	49	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	3	70	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Nicolet Bankshares is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	10	9	7	4
GROWTH
GROWTH	12	37	73	86
SAFETY
SAFETY	84	9	98	78
COMBINED
COMBINED	18	1	78	72

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Nicolet Bankshares the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with alternatives), Nicolet Bankshares shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Nicolet Bankshares. Price-to-Sales is 1 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 99% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Nicolet Bankshares's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 13, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Nicolet Bankshares. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 21 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 92% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 4, is a sell recommendation based on Nicolet Bankshares's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Nicolet Bankshares? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Nicolet Bankshares? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Nicolet Bankshares may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	21	15	1	1
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	24	36	28	21
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	35	26	36	13
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	7	8
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	10	9	7	4

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Nicolet Bankshares; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Nicolet Bankshares shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Nicolet Bankshares. Profit Growth has a rank of 100, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 82 (above 82% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 46, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 54% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 32. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 86, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Nicolet Bankshares. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	16	96	74	46
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	10	14	100
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	38	87	32
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	33	17	65	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	12	37	73	86

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Nicolet Bankshares.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Nicolet Bankshares has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Nicolet Bankshares is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Nicolet Bankshares.Leverage is at 67, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 67% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 75, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 34, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Nicolet Bankshares has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Nicolet Bankshares more challenging. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	86	84	55	67
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	43	4	94	75
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	71	5	65	34
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	84	9	98	78

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Nicolet Bankshares and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	84	40	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	5	23	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	66	88	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	49	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Nicolet Bankshares.
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