Fact based stock research
Nippon Paper Industries (TSE:3863)
JP3721600009
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Nippon Paper Industries stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Nippon Paper Industries (Paper Products, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nippon Paper Industries are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation based on Nippon Paper Industries's financial characteristics. As the company Nippon Paper Industries's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Paper Products |
| Index | Low Emissions, Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | X-Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Nippon Paper Industries
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 98 |
|
49 |
|
79 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
|
1 |
|
65 |
|
15 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
|
22 |
|
36 |
|
54 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
33 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
7 |
|
41 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 44 (worse than 56% compared with investment alternatives), Nippon Paper Industries (Paper Products, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nippon Paper Industries are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 44, is a hold recommendation based on Nippon Paper Industries's financial characteristics. As the company Nippon Paper Industries's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 98 |
|
49 |
|
79 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
|
1 |
|
65 |
|
15 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
|
22 |
|
36 |
|
54 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 33 |
|
6 |
|
74 |
|
44 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Nippon Paper Industries shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Nippon Paper Industries. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Nippon Paper Industries's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 66% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 17% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Nippon Paper Industries (a Dividend Yield Rank of 17). 83% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Nippon Paper Industries's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 100 |
|
100 |
|
97 |
|
100 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 64 |
|
25 |
|
83 |
|
66 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
97 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 84 |
|
1 |
|
16 |
|
17 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 98 |
|
49 |
|
79 |
|
69 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Nippon Paper Industries shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Nippon Paper Industries. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 92, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 8% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 6 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 94% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 8 and Stock Returns with a rank of 23 are also low (below 77% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Nippon Paper Industries is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 21 |
|
33 |
|
6 |
|
6 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 45 |
|
4 |
|
96 |
|
8 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
26 |
|
39 |
|
92 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 12 |
|
15 |
|
71 |
|
23 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 10 |
|
1 |
|
65 |
|
15 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), the company Nippon Paper Industries has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nippon Paper Industries is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Nippon Paper Industries and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 99, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 4, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 34, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), Nippon Paper Industries has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Nippon Paper Industries are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Nippon Paper Industries and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
4 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 98 |
|
87 |
|
95 |
|
99 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 8 |
|
14 |
|
12 |
|
34 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 20 |
|
22 |
|
36 |
|
54 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
5 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
83 |
|
21 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
42 |
|
29 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
5 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
33 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Nippon Paper Industries from December 19, 2024.
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