Fact based stock research
NMDC (BSE:526371)

INE584A01023

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

NMDC stock research in summary

nmdc.co.in

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), NMDC (Steel, India) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of NMDC are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 93, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on NMDC's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company NMDC exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 81). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 93) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	27
Growth Rank	81
Safety Rank	93
Combined Rank	85

Country	India
Industry	Steel
Index
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: NMDC

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	81	36	27
GROWTH
GROWTH	88	41	91	81
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	97	93	93
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	42	90	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	89	98	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better NMDC is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	81	36	27
GROWTH
GROWTH	88	41	91	81
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	97	93	93
COMBINED
COMBINED	89	95	96	85

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of NMDC the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), NMDC shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for NMDC. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 57 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning NMDC's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 26, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 26% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 79% of alternatives (only 21% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 28% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on NMDC's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	22	49	25	21
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	45	93	67	57
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	76	91	38	26
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	86	88	77	72
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	81	36	27

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of NMDC; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, NMDC shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for NMDC. Profit Growth has a rank of 59 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 59% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 87, and Stock Returns has a rank of 75 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 75% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 34 (66% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	88	8	8	34
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	60	45	84	59
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	77	81	87
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	70	55	91	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	88	41	91	81

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of NMDC.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company NMDC has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of NMDC is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for NMDC. Leverage is at 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 59, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives), NMDC has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with NMDC but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	94	78	88	74
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	70	81	71	59
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	100	84	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	100	97	93	93

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of NMDC and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	64	66	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	23	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	78	94	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	9	49	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	42	90	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for NMDC.
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