Fact based stock research
Northfield Bancorp (NasdaqGS:NFBK)

US66611T1088

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Northfield Bancorp stock research in summary

ir.enorthfield.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with investment alternatives), Northfield Bancorp (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Northfield Bancorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on Northfield Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Northfield Bancorp's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 31), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 42), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	31
Growth Rank	49
Safety Rank	42
Combined Rank	22

Country	USA
Industry	Thrifts & Mortgage Finance
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Northfield Bancorp

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	11	20	31
GROWTH
GROWTH	67	66	15	49
SAFETY
SAFETY	37	25	43	42
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	62	50	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	27	20	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Northfield Bancorp is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	11	20	31
GROWTH
GROWTH	67	66	15	49
SAFETY
SAFETY	37	25	43	42
COMBINED
COMBINED	63	14	6	22

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Northfield Bancorp the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), Northfield Bancorp shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Northfield Bancorp. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 82% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 82), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 71, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 71% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 15 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Northfield Bancorp's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Northfield Bancorp with a rank of 22. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Northfield Bancorp's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation based on Northfield Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Northfield Bancorp may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	21	10	11	15
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	42	29	14	22
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	56	38	66	71
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	75	65	78	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	43	11	20	31

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Northfield Bancorp; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Northfield Bancorp shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Northfield Bancorp. Sales Growth has a rank of 83 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 83% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 65. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 17, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 83% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 27, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 65% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	63	16	17	83
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	71	67	22	27
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	66	47	17
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	40	65	21	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	67	66	15	49

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Northfield Bancorp.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), the company Northfield Bancorp has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Northfield Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Northfield Bancorp. Refinancing is at 69, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 60, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 60% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 8, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with alternatives), Northfield Bancorp has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Northfield Bancorp could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Northfield Bancorp and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	29	2	4	8
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	65	69	61	69
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	31	40	75	60
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	37	25	43	42

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Northfield Bancorp and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	23	41	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	40	14	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	80	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	62	50	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Northfield Bancorp.
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