Fact based stock research
Northgate (LSE:NTG)

GB00B41H7391

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Northgate stock research in summary

reddenorthgate.co.uk

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Northgate (Trucking, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Northgate are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 86 (better than 86% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 70, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 8). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Northgate's financial characteristics. As the company Northgate's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 86) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 8) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 70), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 86% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	86
Growth Rank	8
Safety Rank	70
Combined Rank	64

Country	United Kingdom
Industry	Trucking
Index	FTSE All Shares, Dividends Europe, SDG 10, SDG 13, SDG 17, SDG 8, SDG 9
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Northgate

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	98	85	84	86
GROWTH
GROWTH	71	73	50	8
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	69	75	70
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	95	96	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	100	96	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Apr-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Northgate is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	98	85	84	86
GROWTH
GROWTH	71	73	50	8
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	69	75	70
COMBINED
COMBINED	97	94	94	64

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Northgate the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Northgate shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Northgate. Price-to-Sales is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Northgate's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 58% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 69. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Northgate are expected to be higher than for 88% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 88). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 86, is a buy recommendation based on Northgate's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Northgate based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	93	59	65	69
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	85	62	67	58
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	82	73	77	69
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	94	80	86	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	98	85	84	86

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Northgate; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), Northgate shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Northgate. Sales Growth has a rank of 26, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 74% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 39, and Capital Growth with 14. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 34, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 66% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	59	51	48	26
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	17	34	48	39
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	55	87	14
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	98	87	20	34
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	71	73	50	8

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Northgate.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), the company Northgate has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Northgate is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Northgate. Leverage is at a rank of 69, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 69% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 68, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 46, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Northgate has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Northgate. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Northgate and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	14	82	74	69
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	78	31	73	46
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	21	71	58	68
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	29	69	75	70

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Northgate and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	78	60	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	30	99	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	91	62	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	88	97	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	95	96	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Northgate.
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