Fact based stock research
NorthWestern (NYSE:NWE)
US6680743050
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
NorthWestern stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with investment alternatives), NorthWestern (Multi-Utilities, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of NorthWestern are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 21), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 48), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 50, is a buy recommendation based on NorthWestern's financial characteristics. As the company NorthWestern's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 21) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 48), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Multi-Utilities |
Index | Dividends USA, Human Rights, S&P MIDCAP |
Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: NorthWestern
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 44 |
|
83 |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 33 |
|
23 |
|
85 |
|
21 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 5 |
|
48 |
|
56 |
|
48 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
53 |
|
14 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
45 |
|
70 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 50 (better than 50% compared with investment alternatives), NorthWestern (Multi-Utilities, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of NorthWestern are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 21), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 48), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 50, is a buy recommendation based on NorthWestern's financial characteristics. As the company NorthWestern's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 21) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 48), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 87% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 44 |
|
83 |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 33 |
|
23 |
|
85 |
|
21 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 5 |
|
48 |
|
56 |
|
48 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 11 |
|
50 |
|
94 |
|
50 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, NorthWestern shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for NorthWestern. Price-to-Sales is 66 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for NorthWestern's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 76% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of NorthWestern are expected to be higher than for 87% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 87). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on NorthWestern's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in NorthWestern based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
50 |
|
45 |
|
66 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 33 |
|
70 |
|
57 |
|
76 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 49 |
|
91 |
|
95 |
|
97 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 61 |
|
87 |
|
80 |
|
87 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 44 |
|
83 |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), NorthWestern shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for NorthWestern. While Sales Growth ranks at 60, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 60% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 48, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 52% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 26. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 13 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 87% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 38 |
|
47 |
|
94 |
|
60 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 22 |
|
79 |
|
38 |
|
48 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
23 |
|
81 |
|
26 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 55 |
|
13 |
|
55 |
|
13 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 33 |
|
23 |
|
85 |
|
21 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 48 (better than 48% compared with alternatives), the company NorthWestern has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of NorthWestern is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for NorthWestern and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 92 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 92% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 10, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 46, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with alternatives), NorthWestern has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of NorthWestern are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with NorthWestern and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 25 |
|
66 |
|
90 |
|
92 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 29 |
|
70 |
|
34 |
|
10 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 13 |
|
26 |
|
38 |
|
46 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 5 |
|
48 |
|
56 |
|
48 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
51 |
|
31 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
57 |
|
52 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
52 |
|
3 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
53 |
|
14 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for NorthWestern from December 19, 2024.
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