Fact based stock research
NW Natural (NYSE:NWN)
US66765N1054
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
NW Natural stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), NW Natural (Gas Utilities, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of NW Natural are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 59, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 9). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on NW Natural's financial characteristics. As the company NW Natural's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 9) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 59), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Gas Utilities |
| Index | Employee Focus US |
| Size class | Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: NW Natural
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
75 |
|
84 |
|
83 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
9 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 6 |
|
25 |
|
63 |
|
59 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
54 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
29 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with investment alternatives), NW Natural (Gas Utilities, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of NW Natural are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 59, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 9). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation based on NW Natural's financial characteristics. As the company NW Natural's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 9) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 59), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
75 |
|
84 |
|
83 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
9 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 6 |
|
25 |
|
63 |
|
59 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 11 |
|
26 |
|
63 |
|
59 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, NW Natural shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for NW Natural. Price-to-Sales is 84 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for NW Natural's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 75% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 82. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of NW Natural are expected to be higher than for 79% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 79). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on NW Natural's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in NW Natural based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 42 |
|
74 |
|
83 |
|
84 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 31 |
|
53 |
|
69 |
|
75 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 47 |
|
63 |
|
82 |
|
82 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 61 |
|
61 |
|
72 |
|
79 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 42 |
|
75 |
|
84 |
|
83 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), NW Natural shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for NW Natural. Sales Growth has a rank of 14, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 86% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 24, and Capital Growth with 36. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 35, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 65% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 28 |
|
31 |
|
28 |
|
14 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 100 |
|
23 |
|
72 |
|
24 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
14 |
|
31 |
|
36 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 33 |
|
53 |
|
23 |
|
35 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 29 |
|
13 |
|
17 |
|
9 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), the company NW Natural has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of NW Natural is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for NW Natural.Leverage is at 52, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 52% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 63, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 41, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), NW Natural has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for NW Natural more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 10 |
|
30 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 35 |
|
13 |
|
37 |
|
63 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 13 |
|
73 |
|
65 |
|
41 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 6 |
|
25 |
|
63 |
|
59 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
25 |
|
54 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
63 |
|
46 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
66 |
|
77 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
54 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for NW Natural from November 14, 2024.
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