Fact based stock research
Old Republic (NYSE:ORI)

US6802231042

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Old Republic stock research in summary

oldrepublic.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Old Republic (Property & Casualty Insurance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Old Republic are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Old Republic's financial characteristics. As the company Old Republic's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 81% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	81
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	65
Combined Rank	55

Country	USA
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index	Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, D.J. US Insurance, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Old Republic

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	86	95	84	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	91	75	65	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	39	65	65	65
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	55	58	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	95	74	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Old Republic is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	86	95	84	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	91	75	65	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	39	65	65	65
COMBINED
COMBINED	91	55	55	55

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Old Republic the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Old Republic shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Old Republic. Price-to-Sales is 59 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 59% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Old Republic's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 55% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 67. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Old Republic are expected to be higher than for 83% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 83). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Old Republic's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Old Republic based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	50	73	53	59
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	86	76	64	55
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	51	63	60	67
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	100	89	84	83
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	86	95	84	81

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Old Republic; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), Old Republic shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Old Republic. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 51% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 39, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 43. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 57% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 51, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 51% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Old Republic, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	85	63	28	49
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	18	64	26	43
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	17	75	39
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	92	95	81	51
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	91	75	65	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Old Republic.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), the company Old Republic has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Old Republic is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Old Republic. Leverage is at a rank of 78, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 78% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 50, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 50% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 0, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 100% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Old Republic has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Old Republic. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Old Republic and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	29	78	77	78
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	45	n/a	n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	59	68	65	50
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	39	65	65	65

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Old Republic and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	62	30	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	27	70	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	64	69	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	55	58	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Old Republic.
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