Fact based stock research
Old Second Bancorp (NasdaqGS:OSBC)

US6802771005

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Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Old Second Bancorp stock research in summary

oldsecond.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Old Second Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Old Second Bancorp are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 27), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Old Second Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Old Second Bancorp's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 27) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 41), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	55
Growth Rank	27
Safety Rank	41
Combined Rank	19

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Old Second Bancorp

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	15	69	47	55
GROWTH
GROWTH	2	85	63	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	63	1	37	41
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	94	88	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	81	74	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Old Second Bancorp is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	15	69	47	55
GROWTH
GROWTH	2	85	63	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	63	1	37	41
COMBINED
COMBINED	13	51	39	19

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Old Second Bancorp the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Old Second Bancorp shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Old Second Bancorp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 77, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 77% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Old Second Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 51. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 4% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Old Second Bancorp (a Dividend Yield Rank of 4). 96% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Old Second Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	31	95	72	77
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	22	75	97	95
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	20	60	27	51
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	22	9	4	4
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	15	69	47	55

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Old Second Bancorp; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), Old Second Bancorp shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Old Second Bancorp. Profit Growth, with a rank of 50 (better than 50% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 93, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 23. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	4	96	35	4
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	12	51	91	50
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	69	33	93
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	29	45	55	23
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	2	85	63	27

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Old Second Bancorp.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), the company Old Second Bancorp has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Old Second Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Old Second Bancorp. Refinancing is at 65, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 74, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 6, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Old Second Bancorp has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Old Second Bancorp could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Old Second Bancorp and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	69	6	8	6
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	39	29	75	65
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	43	1	54	74
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	63	1	37	41

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Old Second Bancorp and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	86	97	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	76	94	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	64	17	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	94	88	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Old Second Bancorp.
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