Fact based stock research
Orange County Bancorp (NasdaqCM:OBT)

US68417L1070

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Orange County Bancorp stock research in summary

orangebanktrust.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with investment alternatives), Orange County Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Orange County Bancorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 63) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 97, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 93, is a strong buy recommendation based on Orange County Bancorp's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Orange County Bancorp exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 63). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 97) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	47
Growth Rank	63
Safety Rank	97
Combined Rank	93

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Orange County Bancorp

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	75	20	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	56	35	63
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	87	94	97
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	13	80	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	53	59	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Orange County Bancorp is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	75	20	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	56	35	63
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	87	94	97
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	84	41	93

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Orange County Bancorp the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Orange County Bancorp shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Orange County Bancorp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 51, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Orange County Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 75% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 45 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 45% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 91% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Orange County Bancorp to 9. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Orange County Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	70	35	51
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	45	45	75
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	60	1	9
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	55	44	45
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	75	20	47

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Orange County Bancorp; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Orange County Bancorp shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Orange County Bancorp. Profit Growth has a rank of 69 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 69% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 91, and Stock Returns has a rank of 53 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 53% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 21 (79% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	53	25	21
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	77	88	69
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	52	4	91
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	69	93	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	56	35	63

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Orange County Bancorp.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Orange County Bancorp has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Orange County Bancorp is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Orange County Bancorp. Leverage is at a rank of 86, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 93, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 93% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives), Orange County Bancorp has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Orange County Bancorp. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Orange County Bancorp and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	100	91	86
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	31	46	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	64	80	93
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	87	94	97

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Orange County Bancorp and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	91	95	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	1	98	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	2	41	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	13	80	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Orange County Bancorp.
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