Fact based stock research
Origin Bancorp (NasdaqGS:OBNK)

US68621T1025

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Origin Bancorp stock research in summary

ir.origin.bank

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Origin Bancorp (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Origin Bancorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 91), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Origin Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Origin Bancorp's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 43) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 91) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	43
Growth Rank	11
Safety Rank	91
Combined Rank	35

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Origin Bancorp

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	42	11	22	43
GROWTH
GROWTH	78	91	91	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	58	45	91	91
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	78	88	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	61	94	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Origin Bancorp is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	42	11	22	43
GROWTH
GROWTH	78	91	91	11
SAFETY
SAFETY	58	45	91	91
COMBINED
COMBINED	79	41	88	35

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Origin Bancorp the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Origin Bancorp shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Origin Bancorp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 74, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Origin Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 79% of alternatives (21% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 13 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 87% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 26, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Origin Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Origin Bancorp may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	54	41	49	74
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	61	39	27	26
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	37	30	48	79
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	31	11	14	13
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	42	11	22	43

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Origin Bancorp; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), Origin Bancorp shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Origin Bancorp. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 67, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 44% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 20 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 44 and Stock Returns with a rank of 1 are also low (below 99% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Origin Bancorp is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	84	27	61	20
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	94	77	44
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	73	91	67
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	55	77	51	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	78	91	91	11

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Origin Bancorp.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Origin Bancorp has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Origin Bancorp is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Origin Bancorp. Leverage is at 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 84, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 59, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives), Origin Bancorp has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Origin Bancorp but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	18	36	70	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	86	86	84	84
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	71	27	54	59
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	58	45	91	91

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Origin Bancorp and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	94	83	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	79	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	51	80	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	48	31	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	78	88	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Origin Bancorp.
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