Fact based stock research
PayPal (NasdaqGS:PYPL)
US70450Y1038
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
PayPal stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), PayPal (Data Processing & Outsourcing, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of PayPal are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on PayPal's financial characteristics. As the company PayPal's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Data Processing & Outsourcing |
| Index | Employee Focus US, Diversity USA, Human Rights, Renewables Users, NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ, S&P 500 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: PayPal
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
|
1 |
|
49 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 78 |
|
71 |
|
63 |
|
31 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 69 |
|
91 |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
87 |
|
82 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), PayPal (Data Processing & Outsourcing, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of PayPal are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on PayPal's financial characteristics. As the company PayPal's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
|
1 |
|
49 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 78 |
|
71 |
|
63 |
|
31 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 69 |
|
91 |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 64 |
|
50 |
|
95 |
|
89 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), PayPal shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for PayPal. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 66, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding PayPal's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 69% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 55. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than PayPal (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on PayPal's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
17 |
|
53 |
|
66 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 61 |
|
14 |
|
79 |
|
69 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 15 |
|
30 |
|
53 |
|
55 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 22 |
|
1 |
|
49 |
|
69 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), PayPal shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for PayPal. Capital Growth has a rank of 71, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 10% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 67 (above 67% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 22, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 78% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 10. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for PayPal, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 56 |
|
63 |
|
42 |
|
22 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 75 |
|
41 |
|
73 |
|
10 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
83 |
|
78 |
|
71 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 75 |
|
29 |
|
21 |
|
67 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 78 |
|
71 |
|
63 |
|
31 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company PayPal has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of PayPal is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for PayPal. Refinancing is at 77, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 87, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 87% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 47, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 53% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), PayPal has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and PayPal could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with PayPal and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 42 |
|
76 |
|
64 |
|
47 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 44 |
|
43 |
|
72 |
|
77 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 94 |
|
88 |
|
87 |
|
87 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 69 |
|
91 |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
67 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
98 |
|
73 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
58 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for PayPal from November 14, 2024.
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