Fact based stock research
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX)

US7185461040

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Phillips 66 stock research in summary

phillips66.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Phillips 66 (Oil & Gas Refining, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Phillips 66 are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 69, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Phillips 66's financial characteristics. As the company Phillips 66's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 67) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 69), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 67% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	67
Growth Rank	5
Safety Rank	69
Combined Rank	41

Country	USA
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index	Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Recycling, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Phillips 66

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	61	59	65	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	21	49	45	5
SAFETY
SAFETY	36	81	79	69
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	51	41	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	63	61	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Phillips 66 is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	61	59	65	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	21	49	45	5
SAFETY
SAFETY	36	81	79	69
COMBINED
COMBINED	27	79	78	41

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Phillips 66 the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Phillips 66 shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Phillips 66. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 74 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Phillips 66's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 56. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Phillips 66 are expected to be higher than for 55% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 55). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 47, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Phillips 66's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	90	82	74	74
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	2	37	50	47
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	34	45	49	56
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	82	53	48	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	61	59	65	67

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Phillips 66; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), Phillips 66 shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Phillips 66. Sales Growth has a rank of 11, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 89% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 18, and Capital Growth with 44. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 25, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	40	18	19	11
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	20	82	60	18
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	57	31	44
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	34	31	85	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	21	49	45	5

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Phillips 66.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), the company Phillips 66 has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Phillips 66 is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Phillips 66. Leverage is at 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 73, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 58, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Phillips 66 has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Phillips 66 but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	52	69	66	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	66	99	81	73
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	10	13	58	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	36	81	79	69

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Phillips 66 and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	72	70	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	23	36	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	12	21	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	70	54	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	51	41	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Phillips 66.
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