Fact based stock research
Poste Italiane SpA (BIT:PST)

IT0003796171

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Poste Italiane SpA stock research in summary

poste.it

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Poste Italiane SpA (Life & Health Insurance, Italy) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Poste Italiane SpA are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 79) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 43), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Poste Italiane SpA's financial characteristics. As the company Poste Italiane SpA's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 57) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 79), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 43) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	57
Growth Rank	79
Safety Rank	43
Combined Rank	51

Country	Italy
Industry	Life & Health Insurance
Index	MIB, Renewables Users
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Insight 2022-09-08, Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Poste Italiane SpA

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	77	55	67	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	55	89	45	79
SAFETY
SAFETY	19	43	43	43
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	17	37	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	57	55	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Poste Italiane SpA is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	77	55	67	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	55	89	45	79
SAFETY
SAFETY	19	43	43	43
COMBINED
COMBINED	44	51	51	51

Last update of combined financial performance: 10-Nov-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Poste Italiane SpA the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Poste Italiane SpA shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Poste Italiane SpA. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 81 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 81% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Poste Italiane SpA's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 51, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 67. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 68% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 32). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Poste Italiane SpA's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Poste Italiane SpA has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Poste Italiane SpA shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	83	41	32	32
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	56	63	79	81
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	49	46	60	51
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	82	67	70	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	77	55	67	57

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Poste Italiane SpA; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Poste Italiane SpA shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Poste Italiane SpA. Capital Growth has a rank of 97, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 34% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 93 (above 93% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 19, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 81% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 34. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Poste Italiane SpA, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	39	42	15	19
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	43	72	34
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	97	23	97
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	86	87	73	93
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	55	89	45	79

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Poste Italiane SpA.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), the company Poste Italiane SpA has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Poste Italiane SpA is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Poste Italiane SpA. Refinancing is at 93, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 93% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 100, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 3, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 97% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Poste Italiane SpA has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Poste Italiane SpA could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Poste Italiane SpA and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	1	2	4	3
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	79	93	93	93
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	10	65	61	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	19	43	43	43

Last update of Safety Rank: 10-Nov-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Poste Italiane SpA and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	88	48	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	7	83	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	14	7	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	17	37	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Poste Italiane SpA.
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