Fact based stock research
PostNL (ENXTAM:PNL)

NL0009739416

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

PostNL stock research in summary

postnl.nl

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with investment alternatives), PostNL (Air Freight & Logistics, Netherlands) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of PostNL are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 19), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 25), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on PostNL's financial characteristics. As the company PostNL's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 71) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 19) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 25), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 71% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	71
Growth Rank	19
Safety Rank	25
Combined Rank	25

Country	Netherlands
Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
Index	Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, SDG 12, SDG 13, SDG 3, SDG 8, SDG 9, Sound Pay Europe
Size class	X-Large

26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: PostNL

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	80	73	76	71
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	33	54	19
SAFETY
SAFETY	55	75	13	25
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	7	4	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	43	16	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 26-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 28-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better PostNL is in the corresponding investment strategy.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.

Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	80	73	76	71
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	33	54	19
SAFETY
SAFETY	55	75	13	25
COMBINED
COMBINED	83	78	40	25

Last update of combined financial performance: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of PostNL the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), PostNL shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for PostNL. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 92, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 92% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning PostNL's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 55% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 82 (dividends are expected to be higher than 82% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 70% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for PostNL to 30. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on PostNL's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	86	73	89	92
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	96	72	63	55
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	4	16	23	30
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	88	90	92	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	80	73	76	71

Last update of Value Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of PostNL; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), PostNL shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for PostNL. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 85, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 14% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 29 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 71% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 14 and Stock Returns with a rank of 15 are also low (below 85% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for PostNL is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	51	12	24	29
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	3	27	98	14
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	79	69	85
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	90	51	14	15
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	83	33	54	19

Last update of Growth Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of PostNL.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), the company PostNL has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of PostNL is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for PostNL. Liquidity is at 65, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 65% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 25, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 8, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), PostNL has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	69	18	12	8
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	12	79	43	25
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	81	96	12	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	55	75	13	25

Last update of Safety Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of PostNL and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	22	5	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	34	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	43	20	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	18	27	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	7	4	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for PostNL.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.