Fact based stock research
Nutrien (TSX:NTR)
CA67077M1086
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Nutrien stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Nutrien (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nutrien are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 71, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Nutrien's financial characteristics. As the company Nutrien's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 71), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Canada |
Industry | Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals |
Index | Low Emissions, Human Rights, TSX Composite |
Size class | XX-Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Nutrien
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 70 |
|
88 |
|
100 |
|
90 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 52 |
|
94 |
|
4 |
|
17 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 33 |
|
90 |
|
70 |
|
71 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
76 |
|
35 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
100 |
|
50 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Nutrien (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nutrien are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 71, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Nutrien's financial characteristics. As the company Nutrien's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 71), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 70 |
|
88 |
|
100 |
|
90 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 52 |
|
94 |
|
4 |
|
17 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 33 |
|
90 |
|
70 |
|
71 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 50 |
|
100 |
|
65 |
|
66 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Nutrien shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Nutrien. Price-to-Sales is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Nutrien's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 76% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 72. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Nutrien are expected to be higher than for 92% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 92). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Nutrien's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Nutrien based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 50 |
|
58 |
|
72 |
|
69 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 53 |
|
88 |
|
88 |
|
76 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 68 |
|
92 |
|
94 |
|
72 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 84 |
|
78 |
|
90 |
|
92 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 70 |
|
88 |
|
100 |
|
90 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Nutrien shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Nutrien. Sales Growth has a rank of 29, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 71% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 29, and Capital Growth with 31. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 47, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 53% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 36 |
|
90 |
|
14 |
|
29 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 13 |
|
79 |
|
12 |
|
29 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
39 |
|
11 |
|
31 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 60 |
|
80 |
|
16 |
|
47 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 52 |
|
94 |
|
4 |
|
17 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), the company Nutrien has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nutrien is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Nutrien. Leverage is at a rank of 52, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 52% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 71, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 71% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Nutrien has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Nutrien. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Nutrien and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 16 |
|
79 |
|
73 |
|
52 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 82 |
|
94 |
|
26 |
|
41 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 23 |
|
42 |
|
88 |
|
71 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 33 |
|
90 |
|
70 |
|
71 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
59 |
|
34 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
7 |
|
25 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
88 |
|
46 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
67 |
|
72 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
76 |
|
35 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Nutrien from December 19, 2024.
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