Fact based stock research
Provident Bancorp (NasdaqCM:PVBC)
US74383L1052
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Provident Bancorp stock research in summary
investors.bankprov.comoverviewdefault.aspx
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with investment alternatives), Provident Bancorp (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Provident Bancorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 7), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 45), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Provident Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Provident Bancorp's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 7), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 45), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Thrifts & Mortgage Finance |
Index | Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Provident Bancorp
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 11 |
|
13 |
|
29 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 52 |
|
63 |
|
55 |
|
7 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 26 |
|
49 |
|
37 |
|
45 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
3 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
43 |
|
17 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with investment alternatives), Provident Bancorp (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Provident Bancorp are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 7), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 45), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Provident Bancorp's financial characteristics. As the company Provident Bancorp's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 7), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 45), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 11 |
|
13 |
|
29 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 52 |
|
63 |
|
55 |
|
7 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 26 |
|
49 |
|
37 |
|
45 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 19 |
|
25 |
|
33 |
|
5 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Provident Bancorp shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Provident Bancorp. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 51, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Provident Bancorp's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 80% of alternatives (20% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 99% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 5, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Provident Bancorp's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Provident Bancorp may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 11 |
|
32 |
|
51 |
|
51 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 10 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
5 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 29 |
|
32 |
|
84 |
|
80 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 27 |
|
29 |
|
21 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 11 |
|
13 |
|
29 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), Provident Bancorp shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Provident Bancorp. Sales Growth has a rank of 32, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 68% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 8, and Capital Growth with 43. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 7, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 93% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 67 |
|
69 |
|
6 |
|
32 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
45 |
|
98 |
|
8 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
13 |
|
31 |
|
43 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 83 |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
7 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 52 |
|
63 |
|
55 |
|
7 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), the company Provident Bancorp has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Provident Bancorp is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Provident Bancorp and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 86 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 42, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 20, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 80% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Provident Bancorp has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Provident Bancorp are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Provident Bancorp and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 65 |
|
72 |
|
94 |
|
86 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 6 |
|
34 |
|
43 |
|
42 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 43 |
|
41 |
|
1 |
|
20 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 26 |
|
49 |
|
37 |
|
45 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
73 |
|
25 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
62 |
|
1 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
1 |
|
2 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
3 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Provident Bancorp from November 14, 2024.
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