Fact based stock research
Aurizon (ASX:AZJ)

AU000000AZJ1

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Aurizon stock research in summary

aurizon.com.au

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Aurizon (Railroads, Australia) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aurizon are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on Aurizon's financial characteristics. As the company Aurizon's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 15), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	n/a
Growth Rank	n/a
Safety Rank	n/a
Combined Rank	n/a

Country	Australia
Industry	Railroads
Index	ASX 100, ASX 200, ASX 300, ASX 50, SDG 13, SDG 3, SDG 5, SDG 8, SDG 9
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

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Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Aurizon

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	88	57	45	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	11	5	39	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	45	50	15	n/a
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	1	46	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	5	18	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: . Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: . Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Aurizon is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	88	57	45	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	11	5	39	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	45	50	15	n/a
COMBINED
COMBINED	43	14	13	n/a

Last update of combined financial performance: . Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Aurizon the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Aurizon shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Aurizon. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 66 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Aurizon's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 31, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 31% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 73% of alternatives (only 27% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 11% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Aurizon's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	48	29	25	n/a
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	92	58	65	n/a
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	56	46	29	n/a
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	98	88	92	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	88	57	45	n/a

Last update of Value Rank: . Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Aurizon; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Aurizon shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Aurizon. Sales Growth has a rank of 55, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 55% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 67 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 38, and Stock Returns with 41 are also below-average. Stock returns for Aurizon have recently been below 59% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Aurizon. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	11	47	53	n/a
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	14	10	70	n/a
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	12	32	n/a
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	20	35	41	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	11	5	39	n/a

Last update of Growth Rank: . Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Aurizon.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), the company Aurizon has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Aurizon is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Aurizon. Liquidity is at 24, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 26, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 74% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 29 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Aurizon has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Aurizon because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	34	48	26	n/a
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	50	39	29	n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	33	72	22	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	45	50	15	n/a

Last update of Safety Rank: . Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Aurizon and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	13	51	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	26	43	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	44	73	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	33	43	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	1	46	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: . Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Aurizon.
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