Fact based stock research
Qualys (NasdaqGS:QLYS)
US74758T3032
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Qualys stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Qualys (Systems Software, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Qualys are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 42), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 49), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on Qualys's financial characteristics. As the company Qualys's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 30), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 42), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 49), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Systems Software |
Index | NASDAQ, S&P MIDCAP |
Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Qualys
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 6 |
|
27 |
|
10 |
|
30 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 42 |
|
81 |
|
89 |
|
42 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 39 |
|
87 |
|
87 |
|
49 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
70 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
77 |
|
47 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Qualys (Systems Software, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Qualys are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 42), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 49), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on Qualys's financial characteristics. As the company Qualys's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 30), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 42), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 49), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 6 |
|
27 |
|
10 |
|
30 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 42 |
|
81 |
|
89 |
|
42 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 39 |
|
87 |
|
87 |
|
49 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 14 |
|
80 |
|
80 |
|
8 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with alternatives), Qualys shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Qualys. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 76, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 76% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Qualys's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 31 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Qualys's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 20 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Qualys's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Qualys is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 28 |
|
19 |
|
10 |
|
31 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 51 |
|
51 |
|
35 |
|
76 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 12 |
|
33 |
|
10 |
|
20 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
27 |
|
10 |
|
30 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), Qualys shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Qualys. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 75, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 39% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 32 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 68% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 39 and Stock Returns with a rank of 26 are also low (below 74% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Qualys is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 46 |
|
51 |
|
57 |
|
32 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 63 |
|
49 |
|
54 |
|
39 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
80 |
|
83 |
|
75 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 65 |
|
73 |
|
87 |
|
26 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 42 |
|
81 |
|
89 |
|
42 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), the company Qualys has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Qualys is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Qualys and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 100 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 32, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 68% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Qualys has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Qualys are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Qualys and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 57 |
|
65 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 22 |
|
39 |
|
37 |
|
32 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 53 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 39 |
|
87 |
|
87 |
|
49 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
8 |
|
1 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
42 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
55 |
|
83 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
94 |
|
97 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
43 |
|
70 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Qualys from November 14, 2024.
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