Fact based stock research
Red 5 (ASX:RED)
AU000000RED3
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Red 5 stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Red 5 (Gold Production, Australia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Red 5 are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Red 5's financial characteristics. As the company Red 5 shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (81% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 53% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 53). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Red 5, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
Latest Obermatt Ranks
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360° ViewnewThis stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Red 5
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 12 |
|
9 |
|
4 |
|
19 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
51 |
|
77 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 53 |
|
18 |
|
6 |
|
42 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
20 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
1 |
|
6 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Red 5 (Gold Production, Australia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Red 5 are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Red 5's financial characteristics. As the company Red 5 shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (81% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 53% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 53). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Red 5, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 12 |
|
9 |
|
4 |
|
19 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 13 |
|
51 |
|
77 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 53 |
|
18 |
|
6 |
|
42 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 10 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
27 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Red 5 shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for Red 5. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 53, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 53% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 34 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Red 5's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 53 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Red 5's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for Red 5, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 33 |
|
46 |
|
38 |
|
34 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 13 |
|
3 |
|
13 |
|
38 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 32 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
53 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 12 |
|
9 |
|
4 |
|
19 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Red 5 shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Red 5. Sales Growth has a rank of 56, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 56% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 93 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 21, and Stock Returns with 41 are also below-average. Stock returns for Red 5 have recently been below 59% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Red 5. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 3 |
|
98 |
|
47 |
|
56 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
40 |
|
98 |
|
93 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
4 |
|
16 |
|
21 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 46 |
|
45 |
|
87 |
|
41 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 13 |
|
51 |
|
77 |
|
53 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), the company Red 5 has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Red 5 is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Red 5 and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 70 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 70% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 33, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 38, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with alternatives), Red 5 has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Red 5 are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Red 5 and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 48 |
|
84 |
|
20 |
|
70 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 62 |
|
13 |
|
11 |
|
33 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 10 |
|
4 |
|
14 |
|
38 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 53 |
|
18 |
|
6 |
|
42 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
91 |
|
38 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
9 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
8 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
43 |
|
9 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
20 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Red 5 from November 14, 2024.
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