Fact based stock research
Royal Gold (NasdaqGS:RGLD)
US7802871084
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Royal Gold stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with investment alternatives), Royal Gold (Gold Production, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Royal Gold are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 12 (worse than 88% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 52), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation based on Royal Gold's financial characteristics. As the company Royal Gold's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 12) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 52) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Gold Production |
| Index | Gold, NASDAQ, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Royal Gold
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
18 |
|
12 |
|
12 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 62 |
|
27 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
|
50 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
31 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
11 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with investment alternatives), Royal Gold (Gold Production, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Royal Gold are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 12 (worse than 88% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 35) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 52), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation based on Royal Gold's financial characteristics. As the company Royal Gold's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 12) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 35), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 52) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 6 |
|
18 |
|
12 |
|
12 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 62 |
|
27 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
|
50 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 60 |
|
7 |
|
30 |
|
7 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with alternatives), Royal Gold shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Royal Gold. Price-to-Sales is 7 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 93% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Royal Gold's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 18, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Royal Gold. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 19 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 64% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation based on Royal Gold's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Royal Gold? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Royal Gold? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Royal Gold may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 21 |
|
21 |
|
14 |
|
7 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 29 |
|
20 |
|
22 |
|
19 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 30 |
|
22 |
|
18 |
|
18 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 32 |
|
35 |
|
39 |
|
36 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
18 |
|
12 |
|
12 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 35 (better than 35% compared with alternatives), Royal Gold shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Royal Gold. Sales Growth has a rank of 77 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 77% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 57, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 63, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 1, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 20 |
|
31 |
|
78 |
|
77 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 13 |
|
46 |
|
37 |
|
57 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
21 |
|
71 |
|
1 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 16 |
|
37 |
|
51 |
|
63 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 62 |
|
27 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), the company Royal Gold has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Royal Gold is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Royal Gold. Leverage is at a rank of 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 59, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 34, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), Royal Gold has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Royal Gold. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Royal Gold and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 68 |
|
73 |
|
60 |
|
74 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 58 |
|
32 |
|
25 |
|
34 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 89 |
|
69 |
|
67 |
|
59 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 91 |
|
50 |
|
52 |
|
52 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
27 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
94 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
30 |
|
73 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
28 |
|
16 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
31 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Royal Gold from November 14, 2024.
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