Fact based stock research
ScinoPharm (TSEC:1789)

TW0001789006

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

ScinoPharm stock research in summary

scinopharm.com.tw

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 16 (worse than 84% compared with investment alternatives), ScinoPharm (Pharmaceuticals, Taiwan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ScinoPharm are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 28 (worse than 72% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 10) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 74), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation based on ScinoPharm's financial characteristics. As the company ScinoPharm's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 28) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 10), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 74) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	28
Growth Rank	10
Safety Rank	74
Combined Rank	16

Country	Taiwan
Industry	Pharmaceuticals
Index	FTSE Taiwan
Size class	X-Small

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: ScinoPharm

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	41	24	28
GROWTH
GROWTH	10	81	9	10
SAFETY
SAFETY	76	67	78	74
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	1	22	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	39	14	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better ScinoPharm is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	41	24	28
GROWTH
GROWTH	10	81	9	10
SAFETY
SAFETY	76	67	78	74
COMBINED
COMBINED	36	67	20	16

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of ScinoPharm the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with alternatives), ScinoPharm shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for ScinoPharm. Price-to-Sales is 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 81% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning ScinoPharm's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 39, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of ScinoPharm. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 20 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 56% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 28, is a hold recommendation based on ScinoPharm's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for ScinoPharm? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as ScinoPharm? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. ScinoPharm may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	24	26	13	19
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	29	36	7	20
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	56	65	41	39
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	77	53	49	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	43	41	24	28

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of ScinoPharm; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), ScinoPharm shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for ScinoPharm. Sales Growth has a rank of 20, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 34, and Capital Growth with 26. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 26, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 74% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	15	96	26	20
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	92	84	10	34
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	8	26	26
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	31	61	51	26
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	10	81	9	10

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of ScinoPharm.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), the company ScinoPharm has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of ScinoPharm is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for ScinoPharm. Leverage is at 71, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 71% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 66, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 61, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), ScinoPharm has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with ScinoPharm but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	79	68	71	71
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	48	67	65	66
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	68	41	63	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	76	67	78	74

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of ScinoPharm and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	24	20	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	1	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	41	20	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	1	100	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	1	22	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for ScinoPharm.
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