Fact based stock research
Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG)
US8101861065
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
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Scotts Miracle-Gro stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Scotts Miracle-Gro (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Scotts Miracle-Gro are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 51) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on Scotts Miracle-Gro's financial characteristics. As the company Scotts Miracle-Gro's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 51), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 8) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals |
| Index | Dividends USA, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | X-Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Scotts Miracle-Gro
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 61 |
|
40 |
|
83 |
|
90 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 17 |
|
16 |
|
82 |
|
51 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 51 |
|
32 |
|
16 |
|
8 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
18 |
|
35 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
14 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Scotts Miracle-Gro (Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Scotts Miracle-Gro are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 51) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on Scotts Miracle-Gro's financial characteristics. As the company Scotts Miracle-Gro's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 51), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 8) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 61 |
|
40 |
|
83 |
|
90 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 17 |
|
16 |
|
82 |
|
51 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 51 |
|
32 |
|
16 |
|
8 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 33 |
|
14 |
|
73 |
|
36 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Scotts Miracle-Gro shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Scotts Miracle-Gro. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 55 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Scotts Miracle-Gro's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Scotts Miracle-Gro are expected to be higher than for 94% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 94). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 43, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Scotts Miracle-Gro's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 63 |
|
40 |
|
66 |
|
55 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 79 |
|
37 |
|
16 |
|
43 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 10 |
|
8 |
|
100 |
|
97 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 78 |
|
92 |
|
96 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 61 |
|
40 |
|
83 |
|
90 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Scotts Miracle-Gro shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Scotts Miracle-Gro. Profit Growth has a rank of 86, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 86% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 85 (above 85% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 18, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 82% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 18. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Scotts Miracle-Gro. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 50 |
|
53 |
|
49 |
|
18 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 55 |
|
6 |
|
98 |
|
86 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
78 |
|
31 |
|
18 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 10 |
|
4 |
|
88 |
|
85 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 17 |
|
16 |
|
82 |
|
51 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), the company Scotts Miracle-Gro has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Scotts Miracle-Gro is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Scotts Miracle-Gro. Liquidity is at 45, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 4, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 25 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with alternatives), Scotts Miracle-Gro has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Scotts Miracle-Gro because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 22 |
|
17 |
|
3 |
|
4 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 67 |
|
36 |
|
60 |
|
25 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 52 |
|
74 |
|
37 |
|
45 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 51 |
|
32 |
|
16 |
|
8 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
81 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
14 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
1 |
|
5 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
18 |
|
35 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Scotts Miracle-Gro from December 19, 2024.
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