Fact based stock research
SECOM (TSE:9735)

JP3421800008

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

SECOM stock research in summary

secom.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with investment alternatives), SECOM (Security & Alarm Services, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of SECOM are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 81), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on SECOM's financial characteristics. As the company SECOM's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 81) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	47
Growth Rank	23
Safety Rank	81
Combined Rank	43

Country	Japan
Industry	Security & Alarm Services
Index	TOPIX 100, Nikkei 225
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: SECOM

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	96	77	49	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	25	59	25	23
SAFETY
SAFETY	93	91	83	81
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	36	57	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	86	57	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better SECOM is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	96	77	49	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	25	59	25	23
SAFETY
SAFETY	93	91	83	81
COMBINED
COMBINED	89	96	42	43

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of SECOM the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), SECOM shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for SECOM. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 63% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 63), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 69, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 69% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 44 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning SECOM's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for SECOM with a rank of 49. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning SECOM's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on SECOM's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, SECOM may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	82	64	46	44
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	86	70	40	49
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	69	86	76	69
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	90	78	64	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	96	77	49	47

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of SECOM; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), SECOM shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for SECOM. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 67, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 25% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 14 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 86% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 25 and Stock Returns with a rank of 47 are also low (below 53% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for SECOM is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	29	8	4	14
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	37	67	31	25
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	79	51	67
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	22	45	77	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	25	59	25	23

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of SECOM.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company SECOM has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of SECOM is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for SECOM. Leverage is at 69, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 69% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 67, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 74, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives), SECOM has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with SECOM but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	94	69	73	69
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	36	85	71	67
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	75	74	74
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	93	91	83	81

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of SECOM and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	34	7	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	72	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	32	74	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	60	52	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	36	57	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for SECOM.
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