Fact based stock research
Selective Insurance (NasdaqGS:SIGI)

US8163001071

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Selective Insurance stock research in summary

selective.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Selective Insurance (Property & Casualty Insurance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Selective Insurance are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 86, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on Selective Insurance's financial characteristics. As the company Selective Insurance's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 86), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	53
Growth Rank	23
Safety Rank	86
Combined Rank	72

Country	USA
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index	Customer Focus US, NASDAQ, D.J. US Insurance, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Selective Insurance

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	17	43	42	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	79	87	57	23
SAFETY
SAFETY	30	86	86	86
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	37	60	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	63	80	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Selective Insurance is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	17	43	42	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	79	87	57	23
SAFETY
SAFETY	30	86	86	86
COMBINED
COMBINED	33	72	72	72

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Selective Insurance the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Selective Insurance shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Selective Insurance. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 55 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Selective Insurance's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 53. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Selective Insurance are expected to be higher than for 55% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 55). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 48, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Selective Insurance's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	25	46	41	55
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	38	46	51	48
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18	31	36	53
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	38	45	48	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	17	43	42	53

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Selective Insurance; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), Selective Insurance shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Selective Insurance. Sales Growth has a rank of 51 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 51% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 1% of competitors with a rank of 83. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 1, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 99% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 11. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	62	64	50	51
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	59	63	53	1
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	77	55	83
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	78	57	55	11
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	79	87	57	23

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Selective Insurance.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company Selective Insurance has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Selective Insurance is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Selective Insurance. Leverage is at a rank of 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 4, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 96% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with alternatives), Selective Insurance has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Selective Insurance. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Selective Insurance and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	49	64	77	76
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	10	4	4	4
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	59	80	86	92
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	30	86	86	86

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Selective Insurance and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	30	15	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	72	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	33	100	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	48	61	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	37	60	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Selective Insurance.
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