Fact based stock research
Semler Scientific (NasdaqCM:SMLR)

US81684M1045

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Semler Scientific stock research in summary

semlerscientific.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Semler Scientific (Health Care Equipment, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Semler Scientific are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 63, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Semler Scientific's financial characteristics. As the company Semler Scientific's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 63), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	55
Growth Rank	31
Safety Rank	63
Combined Rank	73

Country	USA
Industry	Health Care Equipment
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	X-Small

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Semler Scientific

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	27	48	55
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	43	95	31
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	91	91	63
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	92	34	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	56	86	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Semler Scientific is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	27	48	55
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	43	95	31
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	91	91	63
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	31	31	73

Last update of combined financial performance: 4-Jul-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Semler Scientific the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Semler Scientific shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Semler Scientific. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 95 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Semler Scientific's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 54, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 54% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 72% of alternatives (only 28% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Semler Scientific's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	33	34	28
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	54	100	95
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	19	40	54
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	27	48	55

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Semler Scientific; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), Semler Scientific shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Semler Scientific. Sales Growth has a rank of 75 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 53. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 15, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 85% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 8, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 53% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	75	41	75
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	66	92	8
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	3	87	15
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	57	83	53
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	43	95	31

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Semler Scientific.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), the company Semler Scientific has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Semler Scientific is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Semler Scientific and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 100 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 15, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Semler Scientific has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Semler Scientific are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Semler Scientific and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	100	100	100
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	27	43	15
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	72	72	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	91	91	63

Last update of Safety Rank: 4-Jul-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Semler Scientific and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	82	62	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	1	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	92	78	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	55	20	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	92	34	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Semler Scientific.
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