Fact based stock research
Shoe Carnival (NasdaqGS:SCVL)

US8248891090

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Shoe Carnival stock research in summary

shoecarnival.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with investment alternatives), Shoe Carnival (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Shoe Carnival are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 90, is a strong buy recommendation based on Shoe Carnival's financial characteristics. As the company Shoe Carnival's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 81% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	81
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	100
Combined Rank	90

Country	USA
Industry	Apparel Retail
Index	Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Shoe Carnival

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	61	82	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	75	33	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	71	100	100	100
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	67	78	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	97	98	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 2-Nov-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Shoe Carnival is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	61	82	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	75	33	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	71	100	100	100
COMBINED
COMBINED	93	96	89	90

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Shoe Carnival the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Shoe Carnival shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Shoe Carnival. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 68 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 68% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Shoe Carnival's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 58, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 78. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 60% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 40). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Shoe Carnival's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Shoe Carnival has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Shoe Carnival shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	48	38	39	40
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	72	51	72	68
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	44	60	65	58
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	46	70	74	78
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	52	61	82	81

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Shoe Carnival; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), Shoe Carnival shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Shoe Carnival. Sales Growth has a rank of 68 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 68% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 69. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 6, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 94% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 42, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 69% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	75	65	75	68
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	48	89	29	42
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	9	14	6
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	88	87	69	69
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	94	75	33	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Shoe Carnival.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Shoe Carnival has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Shoe Carnival is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Shoe Carnival. Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 79, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 100, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Shoe Carnival has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Shoe Carnival but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	52	100	100	100
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	72	84	82	79
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	75	98	100	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	71	100	100	100

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Shoe Carnival and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	100	87	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	3	72	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	70	73	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	67	78	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Shoe Carnival.
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