Fact based stock research
Shoe Carnival (NasdaqGS:SCVL)
US8248891090
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Shoe Carnival stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Shoe Carnival (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Shoe Carnival are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Shoe Carnival's financial characteristics. As the company Shoe Carnival's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 71), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Shoe Carnival. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
Latest Obermatt Ranks
Log in or sign up to see the new 360° View and Sentiment ranks.
360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Apparel Retail |
| Index | Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Shoe Carnival
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 52 |
|
61 |
|
82 |
|
71 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 94 |
|
75 |
|
33 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
67 |
|
78 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
97 |
|
98 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Shoe Carnival (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Shoe Carnival are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Shoe Carnival's financial characteristics. As the company Shoe Carnival's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 71), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Shoe Carnival. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 52 |
|
61 |
|
82 |
|
71 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 94 |
|
75 |
|
33 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 93 |
|
96 |
|
89 |
|
100 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Shoe Carnival shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Shoe Carnival. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 60 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 60% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Shoe Carnival's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 52, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 76. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 62% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 38). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Shoe Carnival's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that Shoe Carnival has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing Shoe Carnival shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 48 |
|
38 |
|
39 |
|
38 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 72 |
|
51 |
|
72 |
|
60 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 44 |
|
60 |
|
65 |
|
52 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 46 |
|
70 |
|
74 |
|
76 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 52 |
|
61 |
|
82 |
|
71 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Shoe Carnival shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Shoe Carnival. Sales Growth has a rank of 88 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 88% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 57, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 87, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 15, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 85% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 75 |
|
65 |
|
75 |
|
88 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 48 |
|
89 |
|
29 |
|
57 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
9 |
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 88 |
|
87 |
|
69 |
|
87 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 94 |
|
75 |
|
33 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Shoe Carnival has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Shoe Carnival is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Shoe Carnival. Leverage is at 100, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 75, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 75% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 100, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 100% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Shoe Carnival has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Shoe Carnival but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 52 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 72 |
|
84 |
|
82 |
|
75 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 75 |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 71 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
87 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
72 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
70 |
|
73 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
67 |
|
78 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Shoe Carnival from November 14, 2024.
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our free research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.