Fact based stock research
Siam Global House (SET:GLOBAL)

TH0991010008

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Siam Global House stock research in summary

globalhouse.co.th

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Siam Global House (Home Improvement Retail, Thailand) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Siam Global House are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Siam Global House's financial characteristics. As the company Siam Global House's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 13) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	13
Growth Rank	33
Safety Rank	78
Combined Rank	30

Country	Thailand
Industry	Home Improvement Retail
Index	SET
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO, Top 10 Stock.

28-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Siam Global House

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	27	17	13
GROWTH
GROWTH	57	83	19	33
SAFETY
SAFETY	38	51	80	78
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	57	43	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	61	26	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 28-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Siam Global House is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	12	27	17	13
GROWTH
GROWTH	57	83	19	33
SAFETY
SAFETY	38	51	80	78
COMBINED
COMBINED	20	61	26	30

Last update of combined financial performance: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Siam Global House the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with alternatives), Siam Global House shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Siam Global House. Price-to-Sales is 16 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 84% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Siam Global House's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 35, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Siam Global House. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 13 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 76% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on Siam Global House's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Siam Global House? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Siam Global House? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Siam Global House may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	4	22	15	16
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	30	38	19	13
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18	34	26	35
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	44	37	43	24
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	12	27	17	13

Last update of Value Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Siam Global House; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), Siam Global House shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Siam Global House. While Sales Growth ranks at 69, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 69% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 22, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 78% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 36. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 41 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 59% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	39	37	57	69
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	36	70	23	22
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	80	34	36
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	42	67	33	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	57	83	19	33

Last update of Growth Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Siam Global House.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Siam Global House has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Siam Global House is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Siam Global House. Leverage is at a rank of 71, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 86, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 45, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Siam Global House has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Siam Global House. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Siam Global House and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	43	42	66	71
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	63	39	51	45
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	43	77	92	86
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	38	51	80	78

Last update of Safety Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Siam Global House and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	36	53	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	37	15	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	69	43	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	66	66	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	57	43	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 28-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Siam Global House.
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