Fact based stock research
Swancor (TSEC:3708)
TW0003708004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Swancor stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Swancor (Specialty Chemicals, Taiwan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Swancor are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Swancor's financial characteristics. As the company Swancor's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Taiwan |
Industry | Specialty Chemicals |
Index | FTSE Taiwan |
Size class | Small |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Swancor
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 74 |
|
71 |
|
27 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 18 |
|
13 |
|
97 |
|
39 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 56 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
37 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
78 |
|
63 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
69 |
|
63 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Swancor (Specialty Chemicals, Taiwan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Swancor are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Swancor's financial characteristics. As the company Swancor's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 27), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 74 |
|
71 |
|
27 |
|
27 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 18 |
|
13 |
|
97 |
|
39 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 56 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
37 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 40 |
|
41 |
|
49 |
|
17 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), Swancor shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Swancor. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 100% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 20 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 80% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Swancor's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 19 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 81% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 17 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 83% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Swancor's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Swancor? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Swancor only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 85 |
|
50 |
|
21 |
|
20 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 35 |
|
87 |
|
11 |
|
19 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 74 |
|
28 |
|
28 |
|
17 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 90 |
|
100 |
|
95 |
|
100 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 74 |
|
71 |
|
27 |
|
27 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), Swancor shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Swancor. Profit Growth has a rank of 85, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 51 (above 51% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 7, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 93% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 31. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Swancor. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 72 |
|
89 |
|
100 |
|
7 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 50 |
|
1 |
|
78 |
|
85 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
26 |
|
62 |
|
31 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 2 |
|
5 |
|
57 |
|
51 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 18 |
|
13 |
|
97 |
|
39 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company Swancor has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Swancor is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Swancor and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 68 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 33, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Swancor has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Swancor are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Swancor and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 22 |
|
74 |
|
46 |
|
68 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 96 |
|
63 |
|
59 |
|
33 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 40 |
|
31 |
|
25 |
|
39 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 56 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
37 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
36 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
23 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
96 |
|
97 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
70 |
|
5 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
78 |
|
63 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Swancor from December 19, 2024.
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