Fact based stock research
Tamarack Valley Energy (TSX:TVE)

CA87505Y4094

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Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Tamarack Valley Energy stock research in summary

tamarackvalley.ca

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with investment alternatives), Tamarack Valley Energy (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Tamarack Valley Energy are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 30), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 18), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation based on Tamarack Valley Energy's financial characteristics. As the company Tamarack Valley Energy's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 92) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 30) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 18), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 92% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	92
Growth Rank	30
Safety Rank	18
Combined Rank	39

Country	Canada
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index	TSX Composite
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Tamarack Valley Energy

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	55	79	92
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	51	5	30
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	31	22	18
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	73	86	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	57	35	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Tamarack Valley Energy is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	55	79	92
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	51	5	30
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	31	22	18
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	41	20	39

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Tamarack Valley Energy the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Tamarack Valley Energy shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Tamarack Valley Energy. Price-to-Sales is 73 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Tamarack Valley Energy's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 100% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 75. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Tamarack Valley Energy are expected to be higher than for 64% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 64). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 92, is a buy recommendation based on Tamarack Valley Energy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Tamarack Valley Energy based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	48	87	73
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	36	33	100
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	52	81	75
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	77	82	64
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	55	79	92

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Tamarack Valley Energy; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), Tamarack Valley Energy shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Tamarack Valley Energy. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 24, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 76% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 27, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 22. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 78% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 90, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 90% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Tamarack Valley Energy, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	92	14	24
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	22	15	22
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	6	62	27
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	89	15	90
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	51	5	30

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Tamarack Valley Energy.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), the company Tamarack Valley Energy has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Tamarack Valley Energy is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Tamarack Valley Energy. Liquidity is at 14, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 86% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 43, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 57% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 37 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with alternatives), Tamarack Valley Energy has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Tamarack Valley Energy because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	79	34	43
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	41	32	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	9	21	14
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	31	22	18

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Tamarack Valley Energy and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	68	83	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	4	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	88	50	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	56	73	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	73	86	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Tamarack Valley Energy.
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