Fact based stock research
Axon Enterprise (NasdaqGS:AAXN)
US05464C1018
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Axon Enterprise stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Axon Enterprise (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Axon Enterprise are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 1 (worse than 99% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Axon Enterprise's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Axon Enterprise exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 1), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
Index | Employee Focus US, SDG 10, SDG 16, SDG 5, SDG 9, NASDAQ, S&P MIDCAP |
Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Axon Enterprise
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 67 |
|
83 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 16 |
|
26 |
|
71 |
|
67 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
92 |
|
86 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
50 |
|
87 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Axon Enterprise (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Axon Enterprise are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 1 (worse than 99% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Axon Enterprise's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Axon Enterprise exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 1), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 67 |
|
83 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 16 |
|
26 |
|
71 |
|
67 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 11 |
|
22 |
|
70 |
|
63 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 1 (worse than 99% compared with alternatives), Axon Enterprise shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Axon Enterprise. Price-to-Sales is 2 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 98% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Axon Enterprise's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 3, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Axon Enterprise. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 1 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation based on Axon Enterprise's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Axon Enterprise? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Axon Enterprise? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Axon Enterprise may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 2 |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
2 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 5 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
1 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 4 |
|
8 |
|
4 |
|
3 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Axon Enterprise shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Axon Enterprise. Sales Growth has a value of 94, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 78 and for Capital Growth with 57. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 97, which means they have been higher than 97% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Axon Enterprise exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 93 |
|
82 |
|
94 |
|
94 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 1 |
|
65 |
|
96 |
|
78 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
84 |
|
96 |
|
57 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 84 |
|
27 |
|
77 |
|
97 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 67 |
|
83 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Axon Enterprise has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Axon Enterprise is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Axon Enterprise. Leverage is at a rank of 62, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 62% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 15, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Axon Enterprise has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Axon Enterprise. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Axon Enterprise and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 66 |
|
100 |
|
53 |
|
62 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 28 |
|
19 |
|
30 |
|
15 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 1 |
|
1 |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 16 |
|
26 |
|
71 |
|
67 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
95 |
|
82 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
64 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
58 |
|
63 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
48 |
|
79 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
92 |
|
86 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Axon Enterprise from December 19, 2024.
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