Fact based stock research
Telekomunikasi Indonesia (IDX:TLKM)

ID1000129000

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Telekomunikasi Indonesia stock research in summary

telkom.co.id

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Integrated Telecommunication, Indonesia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Telekomunikasi Indonesia are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 80, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 1). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Telekomunikasi Indonesia's financial characteristics. As the company Telekomunikasi Indonesia's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 65) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 1) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 80), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 65% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	65
Growth Rank	1
Safety Rank	80
Combined Rank	53

Country	Indonesia
Industry	Integrated Telecommunication
Index	Artificial Intelligence, IDX Composite
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Telekomunikasi Indonesia

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	37	65	42	65
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	67	49	1
SAFETY
SAFETY	56	78	90	80
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	94	94	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	97	86	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Telekomunikasi Indonesia is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	37	65	42	65
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	67	49	1
SAFETY
SAFETY	56	78	90	80
COMBINED
COMBINED	51	86	69	53

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Telekomunikasi Indonesia the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Telekomunikasi Indonesia shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Telekomunikasi Indonesia's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 47, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 47% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 55% of alternatives (only 45% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 12% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Telekomunikasi Indonesia's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	17	38	27	45
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	59	55	49	69
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	17	30	17	47
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	69	79	77	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	37	65	42	65

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Telekomunikasi Indonesia; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), Telekomunikasi Indonesia shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Sales Growth has a rank of 20, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 17, and Capital Growth with 22. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 15, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 85% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 1, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	54	41	52	20
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	52	49	57	17
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	73	51	22
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	83	69	43	15
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	83	67	49	1

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Telekomunikasi Indonesia.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Telekomunikasi Indonesia has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Telekomunikasi Indonesia is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Leverage is at a rank of 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 39, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 80 (better than 80% compared with alternatives), Telekomunikasi Indonesia has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Telekomunikasi Indonesia and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	66	68	80	74
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	26	35	55	39
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	72	84	94	92
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	56	78	90	80

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Telekomunikasi Indonesia and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	95	86	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	80	63	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	67	91	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	94	94	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Telekomunikasi Indonesia.
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