Fact based stock research
Texas Capital Bancshares (NasdaqGS:TCBI)

US88224Q1076

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Texas Capital Bancshares stock research in summary

texascapitalbank.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with investment alternatives), Texas Capital Bancshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Texas Capital Bancshares are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 41) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 65), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on Texas Capital Bancshares's financial characteristics. As the company Texas Capital Bancshares's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 19) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 41), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 65) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	19
Growth Rank	41
Safety Rank	65
Combined Rank	25

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	Diversity USA, NASDAQ, D.J. US Banks, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

2-May-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Texas Capital Bancshares

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	50	31	23	19
GROWTH
GROWTH	16	19	79	41
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	23	93	65
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	48	7	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	5	47	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 2-May-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Texas Capital Bancshares is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	50	31	23	19
GROWTH
GROWTH	16	19	79	41
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	23	93	65
COMBINED
COMBINED	82	3	83	25

Last update of combined financial performance: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Texas Capital Bancshares the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Texas Capital Bancshares shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Texas Capital Bancshares. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Texas Capital Bancshares's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 51% of alternatives (only 49% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 95% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Texas Capital Bancshares's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Texas Capital Bancshares could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Texas Capital Bancshares looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	65	64	59	62
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	47	3	9	5
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	78	76	58	49
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	50	31	23	19

Last update of Value Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Texas Capital Bancshares; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), Texas Capital Bancshares shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Texas Capital Bancshares. Profit Growth has a rank of 66, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 66% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 59 (above 59% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 51% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 17. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Texas Capital Bancshares. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	16	37	39	49
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	76	94	98	66
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	19	51	17
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	6	1	77	59
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	16	19	79	41

Last update of Growth Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Texas Capital Bancshares.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), the company Texas Capital Bancshares has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Texas Capital Bancshares is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Texas Capital Bancshares. Refinancing is at 87, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 30, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 70% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Texas Capital Bancshares has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Texas Capital Bancshares could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Texas Capital Bancshares and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	90	22	28	30
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	94	48	92	87
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	82	36	83	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	100	23	93	65

Last update of Safety Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Texas Capital Bancshares and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	16	39	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	87	16	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	33	3	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	48	44	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	48	7	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Texas Capital Bancshares.
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