Fact based stock research
The Lovesac (NasdaqGM:LOVE)
US54738L1098
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
The Lovesac stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with investment alternatives), The Lovesac (Home Furnishings, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of The Lovesac are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 43), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on The Lovesac's financial characteristics. As the company The Lovesac's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 13), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 43), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Home Furnishings |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | Medium |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: The Lovesac
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
1 |
|
22 |
|
13 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
|
77 |
|
33 |
|
43 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 28 |
|
80 |
|
80 |
|
37 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
70 |
|
78 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
37 |
|
85 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with investment alternatives), The Lovesac (Home Furnishings, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of The Lovesac are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 43), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on The Lovesac's financial characteristics. As the company The Lovesac's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 13), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 43), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
1 |
|
22 |
|
13 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 93 |
|
77 |
|
33 |
|
43 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 28 |
|
80 |
|
80 |
|
37 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 33 |
|
81 |
|
81 |
|
5 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with alternatives), The Lovesac shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for The Lovesac. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 58, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 58% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to The Lovesac's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 76% of alternatives (only 24% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 86% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on The Lovesac's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in The Lovesac could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, The Lovesac looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 29 |
|
21 |
|
66 |
|
58 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 45 |
|
5 |
|
41 |
|
14 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 6 |
|
6 |
|
27 |
|
24 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 11 |
|
1 |
|
22 |
|
13 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), The Lovesac shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for The Lovesac. Sales Growth has a rank of 64 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 64% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 8% of competitors with a rank of 65. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 8, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 92% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 45. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 80 |
|
94 |
|
70 |
|
64 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
67 |
|
48 |
|
8 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
38 |
|
17 |
|
65 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 98 |
|
45 |
|
45 |
|
45 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 93 |
|
77 |
|
33 |
|
43 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company The Lovesac has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of The Lovesac is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for The Lovesac and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 100 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 31, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), The Lovesac has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of The Lovesac are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with The Lovesac and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 54 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 14 |
|
25 |
|
36 |
|
31 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 52 |
|
89 |
|
89 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 28 |
|
80 |
|
80 |
|
37 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
26 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
1 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
90 |
|
91 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
70 |
|
78 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for The Lovesac from December 19, 2024.
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