Fact based stock research
The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank (TSEC:5876)
TW0005876007
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank (Diversified Banks, Taiwan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 3) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 66), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank's financial characteristics. As the company The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 23) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 3), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 66) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Taiwan |
Industry | Diversified Banks |
Index | FTSE Taiwan |
Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 19 |
|
9 |
|
18 |
|
23 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 9 |
|
18 |
|
33 |
|
3 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 70 |
|
32 |
|
76 |
|
66 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
96 |
|
66 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
17 |
|
43 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with investment alternatives), The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank (Diversified Banks, Taiwan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 3) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 66), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank's financial characteristics. As the company The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 23) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 3), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 66) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 19 |
|
9 |
|
18 |
|
23 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 9 |
|
18 |
|
33 |
|
3 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 70 |
|
32 |
|
76 |
|
66 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 21 |
|
4 |
|
34 |
|
10 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with alternatives), The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 76% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 23 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 77% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 13 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 87% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 36 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 64% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 6 |
|
16 |
|
20 |
|
23 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 6 |
|
16 |
|
24 |
|
13 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 32 |
|
19 |
|
23 |
|
36 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 48 |
|
52 |
|
65 |
|
76 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 19 |
|
9 |
|
18 |
|
23 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 3 (better than 3% compared with alternatives), The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 53, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 6% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 1 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 6 and Stock Returns with a rank of 11 are also low (below 89% of alternative investments). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 6 |
|
73 |
|
15 |
|
1 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
19 |
|
63 |
|
6 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
11 |
|
83 |
|
53 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 30 |
|
41 |
|
29 |
|
11 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 9 |
|
18 |
|
33 |
|
3 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), the company The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank.Leverage is at 54, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 54% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 89, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 33, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank more challenging. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 90 |
|
27 |
|
44 |
|
54 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 16 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
89 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 47 |
|
27 |
|
51 |
|
33 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 70 |
|
32 |
|
76 |
|
66 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
31 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
1 |
|
90 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
78 |
|
1 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
96 |
|
66 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank from November 14, 2024.
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