Fact based stock research
Toda (TSE:1860)

JP3627000007

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Toda stock research in summary

toda.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Toda (Construction & Engineering, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toda are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 47). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Toda's financial characteristics. As the company Toda's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 47) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	79
Growth Rank	47
Safety Rank	53
Combined Rank	73

Country	Japan
Industry	Construction & Engineering
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Toda

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	80	70	43	79
GROWTH
GROWTH	55	5	59	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	51	63	48	53
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	25	41	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	27	44	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Toda is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	80	70	43	79
GROWTH
GROWTH	55	5	59	47
SAFETY
SAFETY	51	63	48	53
COMBINED
COMBINED	79	32	54	73

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Toda the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Toda shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Toda. Price-to-Sales is 75 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 75% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Toda's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 70% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 81. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Toda are expected to be higher than for 60% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 60). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Toda's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Toda based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	69	67	46	75
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	70	49	35	70
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	88	90	71	81
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	68	69	57	60
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	80	70	43	79

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Toda; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), Toda shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Toda. Profit Growth, with a rank of 73 (better than 73% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 71, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 9, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 91% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 39. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	24	4	35	9
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	50	31	78	73
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	36	33	71
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	78	43	65	39
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	55	5	59	47

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Toda.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), the company Toda has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Toda is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Toda. Refinancing is at 51, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 57, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 42, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Toda has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Toda could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Toda and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	49	57	44	42
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	39	49	53	51
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	73	63	50	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	51	63	48	53

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Toda and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	3	3	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	63	87	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	37	10	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	25	41	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Toda.
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