Fact based stock research
Toei (TSE:9605)
JP3560000006
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
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Toei stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Toei (Movies & Entertainment, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toei are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 83, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Toei's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Toei exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 19), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 83) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Japan |
Industry | Movies & Entertainment |
Index | |
Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Toei
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 91 |
|
35 |
|
27 |
|
19 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 42 |
|
25 |
|
57 |
|
75 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 97 |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
83 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
20 |
|
63 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
23 |
|
67 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Toei (Movies & Entertainment, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toei are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 83, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 70, is a buy recommendation based on Toei's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Toei exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 19), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 83) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 91 |
|
35 |
|
27 |
|
19 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 42 |
|
25 |
|
57 |
|
75 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 97 |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
83 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 100 |
|
28 |
|
63 |
|
70 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with alternatives), Toei shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Toei. Price-to-Sales is 34 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 66% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Toei's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 46, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Toei. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 38 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 83% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Toei's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Toei? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Toei? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Toei may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 75 |
|
52 |
|
38 |
|
34 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 73 |
|
28 |
|
40 |
|
38 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 78 |
|
83 |
|
62 |
|
46 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 68 |
|
25 |
|
26 |
|
17 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 91 |
|
35 |
|
27 |
|
19 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Toei shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Toei. Capital Growth has a rank of 51, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 45% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 91 (above 91% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 47, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 53% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 45. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Toei, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 6 |
|
32 |
|
24 |
|
47 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 57 |
|
29 |
|
27 |
|
45 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
44 |
|
79 |
|
51 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 70 |
|
45 |
|
67 |
|
91 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 42 |
|
25 |
|
57 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Toei has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Toei is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Toei. Leverage is at 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 56, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 87, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 87% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives), Toei has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Toei but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 82 |
|
60 |
|
73 |
|
74 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 84 |
|
68 |
|
70 |
|
56 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 97 |
|
72 |
|
85 |
|
87 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 97 |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
83 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
91 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
89 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
74 |
|
11 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
23 |
|
22 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
20 |
|
63 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Toei from December 19, 2024.
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