Fact based stock research
Tosoh (TSE:4042)

JP3595200001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Tosoh stock research in summary

tosoh.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Tosoh (Commodity Chemicals, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Tosoh are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 83, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 81, is a strong buy recommendation based on Tosoh's financial characteristics. As the company Tosoh's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 73) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 83), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 73% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	73
Growth Rank	49
Safety Rank	83
Combined Rank	81

Country	Japan
Industry	Commodity Chemicals
Index	Nikkei 225
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Tosoh

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	93	91	73
GROWTH
GROWTH	42	25	91	49
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	86	86	83
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	35	62	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	69	98	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Tosoh is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	93	91	73
GROWTH
GROWTH	42	25	91	49
SAFETY
SAFETY	100	86	86	83
COMBINED
COMBINED	98	88	100	81

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Tosoh the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Tosoh shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Tosoh. Price-to-Sales is 55 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 55% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Tosoh's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 78% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 54. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Tosoh are expected to be higher than for 82% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 82). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Tosoh's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Tosoh based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	87	66	64	55
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	98	97	95	78
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	94	80	70	54
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	84	94	92	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	100	93	91	73

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Tosoh; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Tosoh shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tosoh. Capital Growth has a rank of 72, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 42% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 77 (above 77% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 21, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 79% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 42. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Tosoh, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	31	26	54	21
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	19	51	80	42
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	33	69	72
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	40	43	65	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	42	25	91	49

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Tosoh.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Tosoh has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tosoh is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Tosoh. Leverage is at 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 79, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 73, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 73% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives), Tosoh has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Tosoh but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	64	68	68	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	98	75	79	79
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	74	74	73
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	100	86	86	83

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Tosoh and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	29	48	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	17	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	63	63	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	61	60	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	35	62	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Tosoh.
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