Fact based stock research
Twilio (NYSE:TWLO)
US90138F1021
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Twilio stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Twilio (Internet Services & Infrastructure, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Twilio are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 97), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Twilio's financial characteristics. As the company Twilio's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 97), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Twilio. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Internet Services & Infrastructure |
| Index | |
| Size class | Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Twilio
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 1 |
|
39 |
|
63 |
|
51 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 68 |
|
61 |
|
81 |
|
85 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 21 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
97 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
100 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
89 |
|
80 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Twilio (Internet Services & Infrastructure, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Twilio are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 97), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Twilio's financial characteristics. As the company Twilio's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 97), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Twilio. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 1 |
|
39 |
|
63 |
|
51 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 68 |
|
61 |
|
81 |
|
85 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 21 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
97 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 15 |
|
24 |
|
24 |
|
94 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Twilio shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Twilio. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 61, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 61% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Twilio's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 52% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 71. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Twilio (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Twilio's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 6 |
|
25 |
|
58 |
|
61 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 1 |
|
3 |
|
45 |
|
52 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 29 |
|
71 |
|
80 |
|
71 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 1 |
|
39 |
|
63 |
|
51 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Twilio shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Twilio. Profit Growth has a rank of 56 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 56% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 86, and Stock Returns has a rank of 79 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 79% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 44 (56% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 82 |
|
85 |
|
43 |
|
44 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
11 |
|
98 |
|
56 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
79 |
|
60 |
|
86 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 71 |
|
29 |
|
73 |
|
79 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 68 |
|
61 |
|
81 |
|
85 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Twilio has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Twilio is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Twilio.Leverage is at 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 85, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 85% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 26, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives), Twilio has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Twilio more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 69 |
|
67 |
|
73 |
|
74 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 44 |
|
73 |
|
95 |
|
85 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 3 |
|
n/a |
|
n/a |
|
26 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 21 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
97 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
92 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
81 |
|
63 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
68 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
100 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Twilio from November 14, 2024.
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