Fact based stock research
Twin Disc (NasdaqGS:TWIN)

US9014761012

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Twin Disc stock research in summary

twindisc.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Twin Disc (Heavy Machinery, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Twin Disc are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Twin Disc's financial characteristics. As the company Twin Disc's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 93), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Twin Disc. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	93
Growth Rank	61
Safety Rank	92
Combined Rank	100

Country	USA
Industry	Heavy Machinery
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Small

26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Twin Disc

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	47	86	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	71	43	61
SAFETY
SAFETY	34	75	93	92
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	64	28	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	79	86	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 26-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 27-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Twin Disc is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	43	47	86	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	71	43	61
SAFETY
SAFETY	34	75	93	92
COMBINED
COMBINED	25	77	93	100

Last update of combined financial performance: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Twin Disc the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Twin Disc shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Twin Disc. Price-to-Sales is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Twin Disc's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 71% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 80. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Twin Disc are expected to be higher than for 74% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 74). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation based on Twin Disc's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Twin Disc based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	83	81	69	72
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	7	23	75	71
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	94	91	67	80
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	63	74
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	43	47	86	93

Last update of Value Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Twin Disc; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Twin Disc shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Twin Disc. Sales Growth has a value of 69 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 69% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 52 and Capital Growth with a rank of 95 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 17, which means that stock returns have recently been below 83% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Twin Disc has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Twin Disc, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	11	50	49	69
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	92	86	34	52
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	15	7	95
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	92	93	89	17
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	36	71	43	61

Last update of Growth Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Twin Disc.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Twin Disc has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Twin Disc is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Twin Disc. Leverage is at 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 92, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 92% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 56, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Twin Disc has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Twin Disc but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	18	72	86	80
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	98	94	88	92
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	7	18	51	56
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	34	75	93	92

Last update of Safety Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Twin Disc and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	81	81	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	64	59	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	20	17	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	64	28	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Twin Disc.
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