Fact based stock research
Two Harbors Investment (NYSE:TWO)
US90187B8046
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Two Harbors Investment stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Two Harbors Investment (REITs: Mortgage, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Two Harbors Investment are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation based on Two Harbors Investment's financial characteristics. As the company Two Harbors Investment's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 17) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | REITs: Mortgage |
| Index | |
| Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Two Harbors Investment
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
|
83 |
|
96 |
|
95 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 6 |
|
1 |
|
63 |
|
73 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 13 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
7 |
|
15 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
9 |
|
78 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Two Harbors Investment (REITs: Mortgage, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Two Harbors Investment are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 18, is a sell recommendation based on Two Harbors Investment's financial characteristics. As the company Two Harbors Investment's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 95) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 17) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
|
83 |
|
96 |
|
95 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 6 |
|
1 |
|
63 |
|
73 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 13 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 28 |
|
18 |
|
18 |
|
18 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Two Harbors Investment shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Two Harbors Investment. Price-to-Sales is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Two Harbors Investment's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 76% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 73. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Two Harbors Investment are expected to be higher than for 100% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 100). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation based on Two Harbors Investment's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Two Harbors Investment based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 63 |
|
11 |
|
87 |
|
72 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 85 |
|
97 |
|
75 |
|
76 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 68 |
|
91 |
|
69 |
|
73 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 100 |
|
95 |
|
96 |
|
100 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 91 |
|
83 |
|
96 |
|
95 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Two Harbors Investment shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Two Harbors Investment. Sales Growth has a rank of 100, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 100 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 27, and Stock Returns with 25 are also below-average. Stock returns for Two Harbors Investment have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Two Harbors Investment. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 3 |
|
4 |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
25 |
|
11 |
|
100 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
1 |
|
81 |
|
27 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 58 |
|
7 |
|
29 |
|
25 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 6 |
|
1 |
|
63 |
|
73 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), the company Two Harbors Investment has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Two Harbors Investment is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Two Harbors Investment and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 96, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 96% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 10, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 90% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 12, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Two Harbors Investment has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Two Harbors Investment are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Two Harbors Investment and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 1 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
10 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 100 |
|
96 |
|
96 |
|
96 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 6 |
|
19 |
|
6 |
|
12 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 13 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
20 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
17 |
|
69 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
65 |
|
9 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
18 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
7 |
|
15 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Two Harbors Investment from November 14, 2024.
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